0xb35d02...c86b9a

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

-$1.1K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.37

Sortino Ratio

3.56

Max Drawdown

233.3%

ROI

-0.9%

Profit Factor

-0.43

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	BUY	86.0¢	37,372	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	SELL	62.0¢	51,839	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	BUY	63.0¢	51,839	Mar 4
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	SELL	65.0¢	6,768	Nov 27
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	BUY	65.0¢	6,768	Nov 26
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	SELL	67.9¢	6,300	Nov 26
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	BUY	73.1¢	6,300	Nov 26
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?	BUY	43.0¢	69.767	Oct 9
Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?	SELL	92.8¢	0.8	Apr 17
Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?	SELL	92.8¢	16	Apr 17
Will the Left Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?	SELL	99.6¢	15.82	Mar 21
Will the Left Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?	BUY	99.7¢	15.827	Mar 21
Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?	BUY	88.7¢	16.809	Mar 21
Will Trump pardon 750-999 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?	SELL	99.8¢	30.75	Mar 21
Will Trump pardon 750-999 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?	BUY	99.9¢	30.75	Mar 21
Will Ding Liren win Game 9 of the World Chess Championship?	BUY	13.0¢	115.385	Dec 4
Will West Ham win on 2024-11-30?	BUY	14.0¢	64.286	Nov 29
Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?	SELL	99.2¢	55.16	Nov 21
Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?	BUY	99.5¢	55.166	Nov 21

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.01

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.7%

Win Consistency45.5%

Profit Factor0.48

Drawdown Resilience0.39

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.39

Weekly Sharpe est.0.29

Trading Activity10 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$33,0003d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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