0xb35dc7...c5046a

Smart Score

Win Rate

53.8%

Total P&L

+$10

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.19

Sortino Ratio

788.12

Max Drawdown

17.2%

ROI

15.4%

Profit Factor

2.72

Kelly Fraction

0.341

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

067.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	72.0¢	2.778	Mar 5
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	BUY	66.9¢	5	Feb 26
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	44.0¢	2.273	Feb 23
Will Leverkusen finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?	BUY	59.0¢	1.695	Feb 18
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	SELL	23.8¢	4.65	Feb 15
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	BUY	51.0¢	10	Feb 12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 11?	SELL	99.9¢	16.86	Feb 11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 11?	BUY	86.9¢	15.374	Feb 11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 11?	BUY	66.9¢	1.495	Feb 11
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?	BUY	51.6¢	5.89	Feb 11
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	BUY	21.5¢	4.651	Feb 10
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Feb 9
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Feb 9
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	BUY	68.6¢	11.66	Feb 8
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?	BUY	64.0¢	3.125	Feb 7
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	BUY	30.0¢	9.99	Feb 7

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active67.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.71

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)61.3%

Win Consistency76.9%

Profit Factor1.75

Drawdown Resilience1.42

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.42

Weekly Sharpe est.1.08

Trading Activity16 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$281d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue