0xb3606c...0a13ab

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.4%

Total P&L

+$1.8K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.14

Sortino Ratio

-0.17

Max Drawdown

19910.0%

ROI

4.9%

Profit Factor

11.22

Kelly Fraction

0.277

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.9¢	1,445.3	Mar 4
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.6¢	1,169	Mar 4
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.7¢	1,169	Mar 4
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	99.5¢	1,648.46	Mar 3
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	99.6¢	1,648.46	Mar 3
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	1,397	Mar 3
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?	BUY	39.0¢	376.28	Mar 3
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	1,397	Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	96.151	Mar 2
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-03?	BUY	62.0¢	153.86	Mar 2
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	1,692.54	Mar 2
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	1,692.54	Mar 2
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.2¢	1,506.01	Mar 2
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.3¢	1,506.01	Mar 1
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.2¢	1,387	Mar 1
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.3¢	1,387	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	93.8¢	39.23	Feb 28
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	BUY	63.0¢	215.45	Feb 27
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	1,623.85	Feb 27
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	1,623.85	Feb 27

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.6%

Win Consistency26.1%

Profit Factor0.47

Drawdown Resilience0.38

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38

Weekly Sharpe est.0.29

Trading Activity38 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,5680d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue