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0xb37f3f...adfdcf

0xb37f3f...adfdcf
Smart Score
39
Win Rate
70.8%
Total P&L
+$2.1K
Trade Count
1,239
Sharpe Ratio
0.38
Sortino Ratio
5.32
Max Drawdown
494.6%
ROI
7.2%
Profit Factor
1.87
Kelly Fraction
0.329
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
038.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will "Apple Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL5.9¢10Mar 5
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL7.0¢20Mar 5
Will "Performance" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL4.6¢20Mar 5
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY94.9¢20Mar 5
Will Trump say "Auto" or "Automobile" during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY95.0¢20Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?BUY29.0¢100Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?BUY49.3¢40.6Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?BUY81.0¢18.519Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?SELL56.0¢90.9Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL99.2¢153.84Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?BUY69.7¢28.448Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY78.0¢51.282Mar 4
Will Melania say "Ukraine" or "Russia" 2+ times during Security Council events on March 2?BUY97.0¢9.54Mar 4
Will MrBeast say "Island" during his next YouTube video?BUY68.0¢6.25Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?BUY44.0¢90.909Mar 4
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyBUY71.0¢1.408Mar 4
Will Trump say "TrumpRX" or "Trump RX" during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY92.2¢21.703Mar 4
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategySELL30.0¢100Mar 4
Will Trump say "xAI" during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY37.0¢30Mar 4
Will Trump say "TrumpRX" or "Trump RX" during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY82.0¢1.944Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%11%< 10%5%10–20%4%20–30%9%30–50%17%50–70%11%70–80%17%80–90%26%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing38.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.13
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.3%
Win Consistency58.2%
Profit Factor1.01
Drawdown Resilience0.81
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.81
Weekly Sharpe est.0.62
Trading Activity1,239 trades · 64 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5,82611d profit38d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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