0xb3859c...107ebd

Smart Score

Win Rate

40.5%

Total P&L

+$424

Trade Count

102

Sharpe Ratio

2.78

Sortino Ratio

81.81

Max Drawdown

1326.8%

ROI

4.4%

Profit Factor

1.82

Kelly Fraction

0.183

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

040.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	52.0¢	573.077	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	BUY	55.2¢	905.473	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	20.6¢	972.996	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	16.2¢	6.173	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	SELL	7.0¢	15	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	BUY	17.9¢	15.083	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	SELL	2.0¢	90.25	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	BUY	48.0¢	91.683	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	SELL	99.1¢	44.35	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	BUY	83.0¢	44.578	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	SELL	17.0¢	221.39	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	BUY	79.9¢	222.839	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	SELL	38.0¢	469.65	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	BUY	13.0¢	21.154	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	76.1¢	499.615	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	BUY	42.6¢	469.651	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	74.2¢	1,346.55	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	15.7¢	10,055.82	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	17.0¢	8,816.971	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	15.8¢	198.608	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing40.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.21

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.5%

Win Consistency57.1%

Profit Factor1.04

Drawdown Resilience0.84

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.84

Weekly Sharpe est.0.64

Trading Activity102 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,5770d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue