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0xb39f4e...1aaf6a

0xb39f4e...1aaf6a
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
86.4%
Total P&L
+$5
Trade Count
276
Sharpe Ratio
-1.56
Sortino Ratio
-1.50
Max Drawdown
1542.6%
ROI
0.1%
Profit Factor
19.79
Kelly Fraction
0.820
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.7¢36.2Mar 5
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.7¢8.5Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.7¢27.7Mar 4
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL95.1¢37.47Mar 4
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY94.5¢37.47Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?SELL92.2¢33.21Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?BUY96.4¢33.21Mar 4
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL94.7¢39.13Mar 3
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY96.8¢3.74Mar 3
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY96.8¢24.31Mar 3
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY96.8¢11.08Mar 3
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL93.2¢40.83Mar 3
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY93.2¢40.83Mar 3
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL96.3¢35.35Mar 3
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY96.5¢35.35Mar 3
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL96.8¢36.63Mar 2
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY97.0¢36.63Feb 25
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL93.7¢46.01Feb 11
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY93.9¢46.01Feb 11
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL95.2¢10.22Feb 11

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.46
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.1%
Win Consistency35.2%
Profit Factor0.69
Drawdown Resilience0.56
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56
Weekly Sharpe est.0.42
Trading Activity276 trades · 29 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$812d profit17d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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