0xb3b276...f5da22

Smart Score

Win Rate

61.9%

Total P&L

-$13

Trade Count

122

Sharpe Ratio

2.57

Sortino Ratio

5.51

Max Drawdown

160.3%

ROI

-3.0%

Profit Factor

0.69

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	SELL	34.0¢	12.32	Mar 5
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	SELL	19.0¢	6.65	Mar 5
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?	SELL	32.0¢	22.46	Mar 5
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	BUY	16.0¢	3.91	Mar 5
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	BUY	16.0¢	1.083	Mar 5
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?	SELL	32.0¢	8.531	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?	SELL	13.0¢	14	Mar 4
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?	BUY	29.0¢	11	Mar 4
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?	BUY	29.0¢	8	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?	BUY	18.0¢	7	Mar 4
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	BUY	76.1¢	0.8	Mar 4
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	BUY	17.1¢	1.23	Mar 4
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	BUY	17.1¢	1.23	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 8)	BUY	68.0¢	7	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 8)	BUY	68.0¢	7	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 8)	BUY	28.0¢	7	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?	BUY	17.0¢	7	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?	SELL	36.0¢	14	Mar 4
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?	SELL	56.0¢	8.16	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	SELL	29.0¢	7	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.63

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.0%

Win Consistency61.4%

Profit Factor0.77

Drawdown Resilience0.62

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.62

Weekly Sharpe est.0.48

Trading Activity122 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$792d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue