0xb3d4c3...91e68a

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.0%

Total P&L

-$285

Trade Count

1,138

Sharpe Ratio

-1.50

Sortino Ratio

-1.91

Max Drawdown

1115.1%

ROI

-2.4%

Profit Factor

0.58

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	66.0¢	14.99	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	65.0¢	14.99	Mar 5
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?	BUY	98.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?	BUY	98.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	67.0¢	14.42	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	66.0¢	14.422	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	12.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	69.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	49.0¢	14.99	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	50.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?	SELL	99.2¢	9.22	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	14.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	95.3¢	6.52	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	95.3¢	5.92	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	16.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?	SELL	99.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?	SELL	98.9¢	15	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	SELL	22.0¢	15	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	SELL	57.0¢	13.08	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	17.6¢	15	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency39.2%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity1,138 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$9826d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue