0xb3e0c9...603933

Smart Score

Win Rate

25.0%

Total P&L

-$0

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.93

Sortino Ratio

-4.12

Max Drawdown

801.5%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

0.95

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	SELL	49.9¢	4	Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?	BUY	86.0¢	3.488	Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?	BUY	89.0¢	3.371	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	50.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	SELL	49.9¢	4	Mar 4
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?	BUY	57.0¢	3.509	Mar 4
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?	BUY	62.0¢	2.258	Mar 4
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?	BUY	62.0¢	2.097	Mar 4
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?	BUY	62.0¢	1.935	Mar 4
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?	BUY	65.0¢	1.538	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	49.9¢	2.104	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	49.9¢	2.01	Mar 4
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	72.0¢	2.04	Mar 4
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	48.0¢	2.083	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	72.0¢	2.59	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	77.0¢	1.299	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	77.0¢	1.299	Mar 3
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	45.0¢	2.222	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	25.0¢	3.84	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	26.0¢	3.846	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency25.0%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity68 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$191d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue