0xb3e389...bbdefd

Smart Score

Win Rate

55.6%

Total P&L

-$3

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.91

Sortino Ratio

21.79

Max Drawdown

204.5%

ROI

-2.8%

Profit Factor

0.64

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Yellow FDV above $600M one day after launch?	BUY	20.1¢	5	Mar 5
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	BUY	24.0¢	5	Mar 5
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	BUY	10.0¢	21.05	Mar 5
Yellow FDV above $200M one day after launch?	BUY	4.6¢	25.53	Mar 5
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	SELL	16.0¢	5.71	Mar 4
Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch?	SELL	1.5¢	49.18	Mar 4
Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?	SELL	2.5¢	15.43	Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	SELL	28.0¢	5	Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	SELL	3.1¢	59.7	Mar 4
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?	SELL	2.1¢	107.52	Mar 4
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	SELL	10.0¢	22.22	Mar 4
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	SELL	10.0¢	63.52	Mar 4
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	BUY	8.0¢	20.26	Mar 4
Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch?	BUY	6.1¢	49.18	Mar 4
Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BUY	2.8¢	15.432	Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	BUY	3.4¢	59.7	Mar 4
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	4.6¢	0.53	Mar 4
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	BUY	8.0¢	3.261	Mar 4
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	BUY	18.0¢	5.71	Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	BUY	24.0¢	5	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.67

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.7%

Win Consistency30.0%

Profit Factor0.79

Drawdown Resilience0.64

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.64

Weekly Sharpe est.0.49

Trading Activity45 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$102d profit1d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue