0xb3f3db...a3348f

0xb3f3db...a3348f
Smart Score
15
Win Rate
39.5%
Total P&L
-$4
Trade Count
88
Sharpe Ratio
0.83
Sortino Ratio
171.24
Max Drawdown
12610079000000000.0%
ROI
-0.1%
Profit Factor
-0.06
Kelly Fraction
1.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
014.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.9¢80Mar 5
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.7¢81Mar 3
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.0¢81Feb 23
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.8¢81Feb 12
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.9¢81Feb 10
LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group StageBUY0.2¢379Jan 31
US government shutdown Saturday?BUY99.7¢80Jan 31
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL99.8¢79Jan 28
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY99.9¢79Jan 27
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.8¢84Jan 27
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.3¢79Jan 26
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.4¢79Jan 25
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.6¢84Jan 25
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.6¢164Jan 25
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.7¢332Jan 24
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?BUY99.9¢79Jan 21
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL99.3¢79Jan 20
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY99.5¢79Jan 19
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.5¢82Jan 18
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.6¢82Jan 16
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%14%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%86%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing14.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.81
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.4%
Win Consistency20.5%
Profit Factor0.38
Drawdown Resilience0.31
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.31
Weekly Sharpe est.0.24
Trading Activity88 trades · 62 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$40428d profit34d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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