0xb41379...d81cb7

Smart Score

Win Rate

9.9%

Total P&L

-$2.7K

Trade Count

252

Sharpe Ratio

1.33

Sortino Ratio

333.53

Max Drawdown

1132.7%

ROI

-24.6%

Profit Factor

0.45

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.2¢	10,000	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.2¢	11,000	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.2¢	10,000	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	0.2¢	10,000	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	0.2¢	10,000	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	0.2¢	10,000	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	0.2¢	10,000	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	0.2¢	10,000	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.2¢	10,000	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.2¢	9,000	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.2¢	10,000	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.2¢	10,000	Mar 2
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	BUY	1.9¢	1,315.789	Mar 2
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	BUY	1.9¢	1,315.789	Mar 2
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	BUY	1.9¢	1,052.632	Mar 2
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	BUY	1.9¢	1,074.637	Mar 2
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	BUY	1.8¢	1,113.482	Mar 2
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	BUY	1.8¢	1,120.329	Mar 2
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	BUY	1.5¢	1,325	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.2¢	2,500	Mar 2

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.26

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.4%

Win Consistency32.4%

Profit Factor0.12

Drawdown Resilience0.10

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.10

Weekly Sharpe est.0.08

Trading Activity252 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,9616d profit17d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue