0xb41be0...14b786

Smart Score

Win Rate

15.4%

Total P&L

-$115

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.35

Sortino Ratio

2.46

Max Drawdown

17.4%

ROI

-11.3%

Profit Factor

0.79

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

038.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?	BUY	0.1¢	101,000	Jan 20
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?	BUY	0.1¢	30,000	Jan 20
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?	BUY	6.0¢	902.167	Dec 9
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?	SELL	0.6¢	1,219.01	Dec 5
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	SELL	0.4¢	2,597.64	Dec 5
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?	SELL	1.9¢	1,164.72	Dec 5
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	SELL	7.0¢	428.57	Dec 5
Solana Up or Down - December 4, 3AM ET	BUY	5.0¢	400	Dec 4
Manchester United vs. West Ham: O/U 1.5	BUY	18.0¢	833.333	Dec 4
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?	BUY	2.6¢	1,164.727	Dec 4
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?	BUY	1.1¢	1,219.013	Dec 4
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	BUY	0.8¢	2,597.643	Dec 3
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	7.0¢	428.571	Dec 3
Will XRP reach $2.70 December 1-7?	BUY	5.1¢	490.196	Dec 3
Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on December 3?	BUY	8.2¢	304.878	Dec 3
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?	BUY	29.0¢	413.793	Dec 3
Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest: Both Teams to Score	BUY	53.0¢	235.849	Dec 3
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?	BUY	58.0¢	345.293	Dec 2

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing38.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.10

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.8%

Win Consistency23.1%

Profit Factor0.99

Drawdown Resilience0.80

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.80

Weekly Sharpe est.0.61

Trading Activity18 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$8741d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue