0xb42cd3...0a60f1

0xb42cd3...0a60f1
Smart Score
11
Win Rate
47.1%
Total P&L
-$510
Trade Count
205
Sharpe Ratio
0.28
Sortino Ratio
0.87
Max Drawdown
217.0%
ROI
-12.0%
Profit Factor
0.56
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
011/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL37.0¢300Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY38.0¢300Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL75.0¢399.97Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY74.0¢12.35Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY74.0¢11.538Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY74.0¢19.231Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY74.0¢124.077Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY74.0¢32.89Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY74.0¢3.846Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY74.0¢152.192Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY74.0¢3.846Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY74.0¢40Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?SELL19.0¢206.3Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?BUY18.0¢48.42Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?BUY18.0¢157.88Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?SELL19.1¢400Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?BUY20.0¢19.33Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?BUY20.0¢380.67Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?SELL24.0¢200Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?SELL24.0¢94.99Mar 3
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%25%< 10%8%10–20%11%20–30%17%30–50%17%50–70%12%70–80%3%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing11

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.60
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.0%
Win Consistency39.0%
Profit Factor0.29
Drawdown Resilience0.23
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.23
Weekly Sharpe est.0.18
Trading Activity205 trades · 48 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,64914d profit34d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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