0xb44bf1...f43fdb

Smart Score

Win Rate

70.8%

Total P&L

+$0

Trade Count

355

Sharpe Ratio

0.93

Sortino Ratio

0.77

Max Drawdown

62.0%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

1.01

Kelly Fraction

0.008

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

045.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	BUY	60.0¢	1.667	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	87.3¢	1.145	Mar 5
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	BUY	62.0¢	1.613	Mar 5
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	BUY	61.0¢	1.639	Mar 5
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	BUY	35.0¢	2.857	Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	1.8¢	55.556	Mar 5
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	1.075	Mar 4
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	1.136	Mar 4
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	BUY	59.0¢	1.695	Mar 4
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	BUY	95.1¢	2.103	Mar 4
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	BUY	62.0¢	1.613	Mar 4
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?	BUY	94.6¢	2.114	Mar 4
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	BUY	59.0¢	1.695	Mar 4
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	BUY	33.0¢	3.03	Mar 4
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	81.0¢	1.235	Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	58.0¢	1.724	Mar 4
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	53.0¢	1.887	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	40.0¢	2.5	Mar 4
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	BUY	33.0¢	3.03	Mar 4
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	BUY	17.0¢	5.882	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing45.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.50

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)41.4%

Win Consistency71.7%

Profit Factor1.18

Drawdown Resilience0.96

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.96

Weekly Sharpe est.0.73

Trading Activity355 trades · 46 active days

P&L Calendar

$3892d profit44d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue