0xb469bb...daaa7f

Smart Score

Win Rate

92.0%

Total P&L

+$14

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.44

Sortino Ratio

-0.30

Max Drawdown

972.2%

ROI

0.6%

Profit Factor

2.69

Kelly Fraction

0.579

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	104.974	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 1?	BUY	99.9¢	104.104	Mar 1
Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	104.104	Feb 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 8?	BUY	99.9¢	104.104	Feb 8
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 2?	BUY	99.9¢	104.104	Feb 2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	101.991	Jan 29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 25?	BUY	99.9¢	100.1	Jan 24
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.3¢	1.36	Jan 24
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	1.251	Jan 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 20?	BUY	99.9¢	103.033	Jan 20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16?	BUY	99.9¢	81.191	Jan 16
Cavaliers vs. 76ers	BUY	46.0¢	21.739	Jan 16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 12?	BUY	99.8¢	88.607	Jan 11
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in January 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.301	Jan 11
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?	BUY	99.7¢	1.203	Jan 11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 7?	BUY	99.9¢	89.089	Jan 7
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in January 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.301	Jan 7
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.201	Jan 7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 2?	BUY	99.9¢	92.042	Jan 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 28?	BUY	99.9¢	81.081	Dec 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.43

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.7%

Win Consistency57.3%

Profit Factor0.68

Drawdown Resilience0.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity76 trades · 27 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,4750d profit27d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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