0xb46d7c...1c7093

Smart Score

Win Rate

22.5%

Total P&L

+$29.8K

Trade Count

1,000

Sharpe Ratio

0.59

Sortino Ratio

41.11

Max Drawdown

42.4%

ROI

158.4%

Profit Factor

2.08

Kelly Fraction

0.117

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

053/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	SELL	15.0¢	0.68	Jul 2
Will next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?	SELL	2.6¢	0.51	Jul 2
Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?	SELL	1.1¢	0.56	Jul 2
Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?	SELL	1.1¢	0.56	Jul 2
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea before September?	SELL	1.8¢	0.32	Jul 2
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?	SELL	1.7¢	0.3	Jul 2
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?	SELL	2.9¢	0.15	Jul 2
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	1.9¢	0.28	Jul 2
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?	SELL	0.3¢	0.79	Jul 2
Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?	SELL	1.1¢	0.34	Jul 2
Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/VHP/NPS?	SELL	0.3¢	0.86	Jul 2
Will G2 Esports win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?	SELL	0.2¢	0.98	Jul 2
Will the next government of Suriname be VHP/NPS/ABOP?	SELL	0.2¢	0.19	Jul 2
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July meeting?	SELL	0.1¢	0.15	Jul 2
Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	SELL	1.9¢	0.39	Jul 2
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be less than 2%?	SELL	0.4¢	3.01	Jul 2
Will Cole Ragans win the 2025 AL Cy Young?	SELL	0.2¢	5.02	Jul 2
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series?	SELL	0.3¢	5.54	Jul 2
Will Shane McClanahan win the 2025 AL Cy Young?	SELL	0.2¢	3.23	Jul 2
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?	SELL	2.5¢	0.99	Jul 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing53

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.92

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)48.2%

Win Consistency64.7%

Profit Factor1.38

Drawdown Resilience1.11

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.11

Weekly Sharpe est.0.85

Trading Activity1,000 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

+$11,8377d profit1d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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