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0xb4d841...800c8c

0xb4d841...800c8c
Smart Score
47
Win Rate
27.9%
Total P&L
+$1.5K
Trade Count
979
Sharpe Ratio
0.76
Sortino Ratio
34.06
Max Drawdown
66.1%
ROI
31.3%
Profit Factor
1.59
Kelly Fraction
0.103
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
047.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or higher on March 4?BUY12.7¢39.393Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 5?BUY9.9¢81.002Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 5?BUY1.9¢105.655Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 3?SELL7.4¢50Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 3?BUY6.2¢50Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on March 3?SELL1.5¢27.91Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on March 3?BUY3.6¢27.914Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 27?SELL2.5¢104.42Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on February 27?SELL19.0¢55.68Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on February 27?BUY21.3¢9.388Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 27?BUY4.8¢104.42Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on February 27?BUY21.6¢46.298Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on February 26?BUY30.0¢16.667Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on February 26?BUY19.0¢26.316Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on February 26?BUY17.3¢23.158Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on February 26?BUY3.2¢93.906Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on February 26?BUY6.0¢21.73Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on February 26?BUY1.0¢100Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on February 26?BUY1.0¢200Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on February 26?BUY3.0¢50Feb 26

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%69%< 10%12%10–20%7%20–30%6%30–50%3%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing47.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.61
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.1%
Win Consistency46.7%
Profit Factor1.23
Drawdown Resilience1.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.76
Trading Activity979 trades · 24 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,0572d profit22d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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