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0xb4ea23...c72a3d

0xb4ea23...c72a3d
Smart Score
38
Win Rate
68.6%
Total P&L
+$23
Trade Count
451
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Sortino Ratio
2.63
Max Drawdown
2665.4%
ROI
0.7%
Profit Factor
6.27
Kelly Fraction
0.577
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
037.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY99.0¢18.182Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETSELL99.9¢5.05Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢6.22Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢8.19Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL79.1¢8.79Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY79.8¢8.772Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETBUY99.0¢5.051Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETSELL70.9¢10.3Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL91.0¢10.99Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETBUY97.0¢10.309Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY91.0¢10.989Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢7.64Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETBUY98.6¢9.128Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢7.642Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢6.56Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢6.55Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL97.6¢9.22Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.7¢9.212Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.8¢8.61Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.9¢8.611Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%15%50–70%11%70–80%7%80–90%65%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing37.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.07
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.3%
Win Consistency40.8%
Profit Factor0.98
Drawdown Resilience0.79
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.79
Weekly Sharpe est.0.60
Trading Activity451 trades · 38 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5029d profit29d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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