0xb52ca5...a4ebb7

0xb52ca5...a4ebb7
Smart Score
1
Win Rate
63.8%
Total P&L
-$7
Trade Count
237
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Sortino Ratio
0.09
Max Drawdown
4501.4%
ROI
-2.9%
Profit Factor
-0.52
Kelly Fraction
1.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
00.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL94.3¢1.05Mar 5
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?SELL87.0¢1.13Mar 5
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?BUY88.0¢1.136Mar 5
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY94.4¢1.059Mar 5
Cerebras IPO before 2027?SELL90.0¢1.1Feb 26
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?SELL94.0¢2.12Feb 26
Cerebras IPO before 2027?BUY91.0¢1.099Feb 26
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?BUY94.0¢1.064Feb 26
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?BUY94.0¢1.064Feb 26
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategySELL91.0¢1.08Feb 23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL94.3¢1.05Feb 23
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyBUY92.0¢1.087Feb 23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY94.4¢1.059Feb 23
Will Debi Tirar Mas Fotos by Bad Bunny be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 28?SELL96.9¢1.01Feb 18
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL94.3¢1.05Feb 18
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY94.5¢1.058Feb 18
Will Debi Tirar Mas Fotos by Bad Bunny be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 28?BUY98.6¢1.014Feb 18
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?SELL92.0¢1.07Feb 12
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?SELL86.0¢1.13Feb 12
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY93.0¢1.075Feb 12
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%10–20%3%20–30%4%30–50%14%50–70%12%70–80%16%80–90%48%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.04
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.7%
Win Consistency47.9%
Profit Factor0.02
Drawdown Resilience0.02
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.02
Weekly Sharpe est.0.01
Trading Activity237 trades · 55 active days
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P&L Calendar
$119d profit46d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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