0xb52d0d...d7b18d

Smart Score

Win Rate

51.5%

Total P&L

-$661

Trade Count

389

Sharpe Ratio

-0.79

Sortino Ratio

-1.18

Max Drawdown

25622.6%

ROI

-16.1%

Profit Factor

0.32

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	SELL	9.0¢	5.55	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	SELL	23.0¢	12.04	Mar 5
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	SELL	30.0¢	22.72	Mar 5
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	SELL	48.0¢	8.19	Mar 5
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	SELL	70.0¢	7.89	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	51.0¢	79.37	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	48.9¢	8.174	Mar 4
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	SELL	35.0¢	9.09	Mar 4
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	SELL	95.1¢	22.43	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?	BUY	68.0¢	1.471	Mar 2
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?	BUY	68.0¢	2.941	Mar 2
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	BUY	61.0¢	8.197	Mar 2
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	BUY	44.0¢	11.364	Mar 2
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	BUY	18.0¢	5.556	Mar 2
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	BUY	44.0¢	11.364	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	SELL	99.5¢	51.67	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	BUY	50.0¢	0.4	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	BUY	50.0¢	6.3	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	BUY	50.0¢	3.3	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	BUY	50.0¢	2	Feb 28

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency35.6%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity389 trades · 50 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,31516d profit34d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue