0xb531f5...97efbb

Smart Score

Win Rate

44.6%

Total P&L

-$165

Trade Count

267

Sharpe Ratio

-0.75

Sortino Ratio

-1.49

Max Drawdown

890.4%

ROI

-2.6%

Profit Factor

0.77

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

02/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	BUY	43.9¢	2.278	Mar 5
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	BUY	61.9¢	64.614	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	53.0¢	56.604	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	55.0¢	9.091	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	BUY	33.0¢	3.03	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	BUY	37.0¢	2.703	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	BUY	35.9¢	111.389	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	58.0¢	86.207	Feb 28
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?	SELL	60.0¢	34.18	Feb 27
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?	SELL	61.0¢	19.87	Feb 27
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?	BUY	43.0¢	8.512	Feb 19
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?	SELL	63.0¢	5.81	Feb 19
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?	BUY	64.0¢	5.813	Feb 18
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	6.0¢	27.02	Feb 18
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	1.9¢	57.25	Feb 18
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	9.0¢	11.11	Feb 18
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	BUY	65.0¢	103.877	Feb 9
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?	BUY	74.0¢	54.054	Feb 8
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?	BUY	58.0¢	8.93	Feb 5
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?	BUY	58.0¢	8.93	Feb 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.11

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.8%

Win Consistency35.9%

Profit Factor0.05

Drawdown Resilience0.04

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.04

Weekly Sharpe est.0.03

Trading Activity267 trades · 69 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,41318d profit44d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue