0xb53a4b...178702

Smart Score

Win Rate

19.0%

Total P&L

-$14

Trade Count

155

Sharpe Ratio

0.07

Sortino Ratio

0.43

Max Drawdown

37.5%

ROI

-1.9%

Profit Factor

0.95

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

035.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	40	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	BUY	22.0¢	90.909	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	6.26	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	3.74	Mar 5
US bank failure by December 31?	BUY	3.0¢	18.96	Dec 14
US bank failure by December 31?	BUY	3.0¢	20	Dec 13
US bank failure by December 31?	BUY	3.0¢	1.031	Dec 12
China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?	BUY	1.3¢	348.12	Dec 9
China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?	BUY	1.3¢	51.874	Dec 9
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-12-07?	BUY	6.0¢	25	Dec 7
Will FK Akron Tolyatti win on 2025-12-06?	BUY	6.0¢	25	Dec 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 5?	BUY	12.1¢	100	Dec 1
Will FC Volendam win on 2025-11-30?	BUY	2.6¢	60	Nov 30
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-11-30?	BUY	8.0¢	4.56	Nov 30
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-11-30?	BUY	8.0¢	14.435	Nov 30
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-11-29?	BUY	6.0¢	5.96	Nov 29
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-11-29?	BUY	6.0¢	16.777	Nov 29
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-11-29?	BUY	6.0¢	2.252	Nov 29
Will PSV vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?	BUY	4.0¢	26.5	Nov 28
Will PSV vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?	BUY	4.0¢	8.495	Nov 28

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing35.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.97

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.6%

Win Consistency43.0%

Profit Factor0.93

Drawdown Resilience0.75

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75

Weekly Sharpe est.0.57

Trading Activity155 trades · 27 active days

P&L Calendar

$2584d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue