0xb547e5...d64917

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.3%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

4.18

Sortino Ratio

0.00

Max Drawdown

10.0%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

12.36

Kelly Fraction

0.766

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

066.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	60	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	60	Mar 5
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	7	Mar 1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	8	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	99.9¢	50	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	105	Mar 1
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.6¢	5	Mar 1
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.7¢	5	Mar 1
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	99.8¢	180.311	Feb 26
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?	BUY	99.9¢	60	Feb 14
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	BUY	99.9¢	60	Feb 14
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	BUY	99.9¢	56	Feb 13

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active66.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.65

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)60.3%

Win Consistency66.7%

Profit Factor1.72

Drawdown Resilience1.39

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.39

Weekly Sharpe est.1.06

Trading Activity12 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$6550d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue