0xb5adf6...4539ee

Smart Score

Win Rate

34.7%

Total P&L

+$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

3.20

Sortino Ratio

21.02

Max Drawdown

13.3%

ROI

5.3%

Profit Factor

1.36

Kelly Fraction

0.092

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

063.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	44.0¢	3.22	Mar 5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	60.0¢	1.667	Mar 4
Hawks vs. Bucks	BUY	49.0¢	2.041	Mar 4
Mavericks vs. Magic	BUY	78.0¢	1.282	Mar 4
Thunder vs. Knicks	BUY	39.0¢	2.564	Mar 4
Raptors vs. Timberwolves	BUY	68.0¢	1.471	Mar 4
Lakers vs. Nuggets	BUY	63.0¢	1.587	Mar 4
Hornets vs. Celtics	BUY	32.0¢	3.125	Mar 4
Pelicans vs. Kings	BUY	71.0¢	1.408	Mar 4
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	BUY	0.3¢	4.22	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	500	Mar 3
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	BUY	0.3¢	5.44	Mar 3
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	BUY	0.3¢	5.34	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	66.0¢	9.52	Mar 3
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	BUY	0.3¢	333	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	SELL	49.5¢	2.45	Mar 3
Thunder vs. Knicks	BUY	62.0¢	1.613	Mar 3
Knicks vs. Raptors	BUY	58.0¢	1.724	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	BUY	0.5¢	5	Mar 2

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active63.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.47

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)57.4%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor1.64

Drawdown Resilience1.33

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.33

Weekly Sharpe est.1.01

Trading Activity79 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$153d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue