0xb601cc...472a11

Smart Score

Win Rate

39.2%

Total P&L

-$1.1K

Trade Count

162

Sharpe Ratio

0.52

Sortino Ratio

2.46

Max Drawdown

1470.4%

ROI

-16.4%

Profit Factor

0.06

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

02.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	68.0¢	15.39	Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	63.7¢	31.408	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	77.0¢	44.81	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	66.0¢	403.28	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	SELL	30.0¢	74.89	Mar 3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?	BUY	68.0¢	29.412	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	64.0¢	18.67	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	65.5¢	14.43	Mar 3
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	2.9¢	48.276	Mar 3
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	5.6¢	25	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	66.0¢	51.879	Mar 2
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	66.4¢	75.311	Mar 2
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	57.0¢	175.439	Mar 2
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	56.0¢	178.571	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BUY	26.0¢	38.462	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BUY	27.5¢	36.429	Mar 2
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	16.0¢	25	Mar 2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?	BUY	61.0¢	8.197	Mar 2
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?	BUY	39.0¢	12.821	Mar 2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?	BUY	61.0¢	8.197	Mar 2

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing2.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.14

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.3%

Win Consistency49.1%

Profit Factor0.07

Drawdown Resilience0.05

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.05

Weekly Sharpe est.0.04

Trading Activity162 trades · 27 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,18011d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue