0xb608ed...a2881e

0xb608ed...a2881e
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
41.4%
Total P&L
-$54
Trade Count
1,076
Sharpe Ratio
0.48
Sortino Ratio
1.39
Max Drawdown
5006.1%
ROI
-0.4%
Profit Factor
0.97
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
018.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C or below on March 5?BUY0.6¢100Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 5?BUY1.0¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 5?BUY1.0¢9.85Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 5?BUY1.0¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 5?BUY0.9¢70.15Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 5?BUY19.0¢6Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 5?BUY4.2¢19.99Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 5?BUY2.0¢5.01Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 5?BUY2.0¢50Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 5?BUY7.9¢13Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 5?BUY38.0¢20Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?BUY23.0¢2.922Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?BUY51.0¢13.8Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 5?BUY29.0¢20Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?SELL98.8¢8.4Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?SELL98.8¢15.7Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?SELL98.8¢15.9Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?SELL99.6¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?SELL99.2¢39.99Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 5?BUY41.0¢20Mar 4
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%12%10–20%17%20–30%42%30–50%14%50–70%70–80%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.6%
Win Consistency45.0%
Profit Factor0.47
Drawdown Resilience0.38
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38
Weekly Sharpe est.0.29
Trading Activity1,076 trades · 72 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$88930d profit42d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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