0xb63097...94f3e6

Smart Score

Win Rate

56.0%

Total P&L

+$909

Trade Count

179

Sharpe Ratio

0.15

Sortino Ratio

0.30

Max Drawdown

216.8%

ROI

9.9%

Profit Factor

3.09

Kelly Fraction

0.379

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	29.0¢	3.483	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	SELL	0.1¢	1,003	Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	29.6¢	728.495	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	75.0¢	172.38	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	21.0¢	1,428.571	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	58.0¢	172.386	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	29.8¢	401.6	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	24.9¢	401.6	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	96.3¢	796.53	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	BUY	18.1¢	622.818	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	21.0¢	321	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	15.0¢	302.14	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	16.0¢	321	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	17.0¢	302.14	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	36.0¢	251.409	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	18.0¢	501.66	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	28.0¢	99.464	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	24.3¢	114.7	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	24.9¢	149.68	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	31.0¢	120.07	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.68

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.8%

Win Consistency57.9%

Profit Factor0.79

Drawdown Resilience0.64

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.64

Weekly Sharpe est.0.49

Trading Activity179 trades · 22 active days

P&L Calendar

$2564d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue