0xb68dde...97a72f

Smart Score

Win Rate

81.8%

Total P&L

+$273

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.02

Sortino Ratio

-0.03

Max Drawdown

120.7%

ROI

6.6%

Profit Factor

436.08

Kelly Fraction

0.816

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

034.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	63.5	Mar 5
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.2¢	63.508	Mar 5
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	65.065	Jan 28
Will Solana dip to $70 January 12-18?	BUY	99.9¢	14.014	Jan 12
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	54.05	Jan 5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	26.026	Jan 5
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	7.007	Jan 5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	28.028	Jan 5
Will the price of XRP be above $2.50 on December 17?	BUY	99.9¢	14.014	Dec 16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 19?	BUY	99.9¢	13.013	Nov 18
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.4¢	45.22	Nov 10
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.5¢	45.226	Nov 10
Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?	SELL	99.6¢	265.79	Sep 22
Will Solana dip to $160 September 22-28?	BUY	99.5¢	2.01	Sep 22
Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?	BUY	99.7¢	90.271	Sep 22
Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?	BUY	99.7¢	175.526	Sep 22
Will Solana dip to $160 September 22-28?	BUY	99.5¢	8.04	Sep 22
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?	SELL	99.8¢	280.28	Sep 11
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?	BUY	99.4¢	21.127	Sep 11
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	0.1¢	275	Sep 11

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing34.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.88

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.1%

Win Consistency66.7%

Profit Factor0.89

Drawdown Resilience0.72

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.72

Weekly Sharpe est.0.55

Trading Activity40 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

+$941d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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