0xb69933...4fde81

Smart Score

Win Rate

69.5%

Total P&L

+$71

Trade Count

530

Sharpe Ratio

-0.21

Sortino Ratio

-0.63

Max Drawdown

818.6%

ROI

1.0%

Profit Factor

3.42

Kelly Fraction

0.492

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6AM ET	BUY	99.6¢	18.078	Mar 5
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.0¢	6.24	Mar 5
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.1¢	6.243	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	SELL	99.9¢	15.15	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	15.152	Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	84.0¢	8.34	Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	8.333	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	99.8¢	15.15	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	15.152	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.5¢	7.39	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	94.7¢	7.392	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	95.9¢	6.26	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	SELL	51.0¢	15.39	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	7.17	Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.7¢	6.14	Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.8¢	6.135	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ET	BUY	98.6¢	9.128	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	92.7¢	9.7	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	5.051	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	92.9¢	9.688	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.34

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.1%

Win Consistency43.6%

Profit Factor0.63

Drawdown Resilience0.51

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51

Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Trading Activity512 trades · 41 active days

P&L Calendar

$5519d profit32d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue