0xb69a45...d17c05

Smart Score

Win Rate

59.6%

Total P&L

+$476

Trade Count

2,669

Sharpe Ratio

0.14

Sortino Ratio

0.39

Max Drawdown

870.4%

ROI

2.9%

Profit Factor

1.48

Kelly Fraction

0.192

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

017.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 43.0 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	7.8¢	50	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	5.0¢	119	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 43.0 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	7.7¢	15	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.5 and 42.9 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	59.0¢	21	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.5 and 42.9 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	60.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.5 and 42.9 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	58.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	1.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	7.0¢	27.88	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	30.0¢	156	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	35.0¢	166.84	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 43.0 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	1.2¢	100	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	1.2¢	48.71	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.5 and 42.9 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	47.0¢	4.717	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.5 and 42.9 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	47.0¢	12.66	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	6.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	39.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	1.2¢	42.21	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	42.0¢	95	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on March 6, 2026?	SELL	7.0¢	30	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	1.2¢	12.99	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing17.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.98

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.3%

Win Consistency47.6%

Profit Factor0.47

Drawdown Resilience0.38

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38

Weekly Sharpe est.0.29

Trading Activity2,669 trades · 184 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,53139d profit141d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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