0xb6c941...732738

Smart Score

Win Rate

11.4%

Total P&L

+$2.5K

Trade Count

995

Sharpe Ratio

17.39

Sortino Ratio

186.27

Max Drawdown

0.8%

ROI

111.9%

Profit Factor

4.30

Kelly Fraction

0.088

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

075.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?	BUY	0.7¢	18.16	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 5?	BUY	5.1¢	11.84	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	SELL	18.0¢	8.32	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 5?	SELL	7.1¢	2	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 5?	SELL	7.1¢	13	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 5?	BUY	5.1¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 5?	BUY	5.1¢	5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on March 5?	SELL	1.5¢	2	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on March 5?	SELL	1.5¢	18	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	24.0¢	4.37	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	24.0¢	3.947	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	SELL	25.0¢	7.97	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	24.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on March 5?	BUY	3.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?	SELL	0.6¢	24.67	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	SELL	27.0¢	3.704	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 5?	SELL	5.9¢	20	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?	SELL	0.4¢	5.33	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	24.0¢	6.68	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?	BUY	0.5¢	0.33	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro75.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.14

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)68.4%

Win Consistency89.5%

Profit Factor1.96

Drawdown Resilience1.58

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.58

Weekly Sharpe est.1.20

Trading Activity995 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

+$2,1677d profit0d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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