0xb6f6c7...4e3075

Smart Score

Win Rate

69.2%

Total P&L

+$712

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.54

Sortino Ratio

5.11

Max Drawdown

25.2%

ROI

8.0%

Profit Factor

3.31

Kelly Fraction

0.483

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

072/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	72.0¢	209.9	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	82.0¢	333	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	82.0¢	83.333	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	82.0¢	1.229	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	82.0¢	10	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	82.0¢	10	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	81.9¢	587.64	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	72.0¢	1,500	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	60.0¢	77.67	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	60.0¢	922.33	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	80.0¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	BUY	38.0¢	11.24	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	BUY	38.0¢	488.76	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.5¢	500	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	73.0¢	500	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	62.0¢	500	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	SELL	18.0¢	62.01	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	SELL	18.0¢	437.99	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	62.0¢	325	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	62.0¢	175	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active72

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.96

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)65.5%

Win Consistency53.8%

Profit Factor1.87

Drawdown Resilience1.51

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.51

Weekly Sharpe est.1.15

Trading Activity44 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$6,5980d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue