0xb716a4...89f61c

Smart Score

Win Rate

84.2%

Total P&L

+$148

Trade Count

141

Sharpe Ratio

0.19

Sortino Ratio

0.22

Max Drawdown

227.1%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

1.53

Kelly Fraction

0.290

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	96.4¢	2,385.511	Mar 5
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?	BUY	98.8¢	2,530.364	Mar 5
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?	BUY	93.0¢	215.054	Mar 5
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?	SELL	89.0¢	340.9	Mar 3
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?	BUY	87.0¢	169.16	Mar 3
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?	BUY	87.0¢	30.832	Mar 3
Kash Patel out by June 30?	BUY	89.0¢	224.719	Mar 3
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?	BUY	88.0¢	340.909	Mar 3
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in March 2026?	BUY	98.4¢	406.304	Mar 3
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,000 (LOW) in March 2026?	BUY	95.3¢	104.925	Mar 3
Khamenei seen in public by March 2?	BUY	99.8¢	1,301.503	Feb 28
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	SELL	93.0¢	1,075.26	Feb 28
Kash Patel out by March 31?	BUY	96.9¢	5.74	Feb 26
Kash Patel out by March 31?	BUY	96.9¢	194.26	Feb 26
Kash Patel out by March 31?	BUY	97.5¢	512.826	Feb 26
Kash Patel out by June 30?	BUY	88.0¢	113.636	Feb 26
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	505.561	Feb 26
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	BUY	80.3¢	1,244.768	Feb 26
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	1,075.269	Feb 26
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	SELL	94.0¢	600.31	Feb 24

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.19

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.7%

Win Consistency62.3%

Profit Factor0.56

Drawdown Resilience0.45

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45

Weekly Sharpe est.0.35

Trading Activity141 trades · 43 active days

P&L Calendar

$23,72512d profit31d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue