0xb75693...798a10

Smart Score

Win Rate

56.8%

Total P&L

+$1.9K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.13

Sortino Ratio

0.29

Max Drawdown

364791570000000000.0%

ROI

47.6%

Profit Factor

3.01

Kelly Fraction

0.379

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 20 or more times during the May meeting?	BUY	31.0¢	100	May 7
Ethereum Up or Down on May 8?	BUY	50.0¢	10	May 7
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	BUY	50.0¢	10	May 7
Will Joe Biden say "Tariff" during his May 8 interview?	BUY	36.0¢	30	May 7
Will Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May meeting?	BUY	35.0¢	565	May 7
Will Joe Biden say "China" during his May 8 interview?	BUY	53.0¢	895	May 7
Will Joe Biden say "Social Security" during his May 8 interview?	BUY	62.0¢	5	May 7
Will Joe Biden say "Social Security" during his May 8 interview?	BUY	62.0¢	235	May 7
Will Joe Biden say "Social Security" during his May 8 interview?	BUY	62.0¢	5	May 7
Will Joe Biden say "Social Security" during his May 8 interview?	BUY	62.0¢	5	May 7
Solana Up or Down on May 8?	BUY	52.0¢	70	May 7
Solana Up or Down on May 8?	BUY	52.0¢	5	May 7
Solana Up or Down on May 8?	BUY	52.0¢	260	May 7
Will Trump say "Trudeau" during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	57.0¢	175	May 5
Will Trump say "Trudeau" during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	57.0¢	335	May 5
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during the May meeting?	BUY	40.0¢	1,000	May 5
Will Trump say "Ripped" or "Ripping" during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	56.0¢	5	May 5
Will Trump say "Ripped" or "Ripping" during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	56.0¢	95	May 5
Will Trump say "Ripped" or "Ripping" during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	56.0¢	480	May 5
Will Nicușor Dan win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?	BUY	50.0¢	55	May 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.34

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.1%

Win Consistency51.3%

Profit Factor0.63

Drawdown Resilience0.51

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51

Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Trading Activity38 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,3780d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue