0xb75729...b35b17

Smart Score

Win Rate

78.6%

Total P&L

-$5

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.09

Sortino Ratio

0.41

Max Drawdown

2386.9%

ROI

-0.3%

Profit Factor

0.63

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

014/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	69.569	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 6?	BUY	0.2¢	700	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 2?	BUY	99.9¢	70.9	Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 15?	BUY	0.2¢	700	Feb 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 15?	BUY	99.9¢	30.03	Feb 14
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	35.035	Feb 14
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	72.162	Feb 4
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	BUY	87.8¢	20.501	Jan 26
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 17?	BUY	99.1¢	67.134	Jan 16
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 10?	BUY	99.9¢	66.536	Jan 9
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	99.9¢	1.331	Jan 9
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	99.8¢	1.122	Jan 9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 5?	BUY	99.9¢	68.918	Jan 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 31?	BUY	99.9¢	68.849	Dec 30
Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Dec 30
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 21?	BUY	99.9¢	69.069	Dec 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 15?	BUY	99.9¢	69.709	Dec 13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 5?	BUY	99.9¢	69.639	Dec 5
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	66.566	Nov 30
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in November 2025?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Nov 30

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing14

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.77

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.7%

Win Consistency62.5%

Profit Factor0.36

Drawdown Resilience0.29

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29

Weekly Sharpe est.0.22

Trading Activity42 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,2340d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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