0xb7968a...bf58a8

Smart Score

Win Rate

36.5%

Total P&L

+$637.9K

Trade Count

1,000

Sharpe Ratio

5.67

Sortino Ratio

166.03

Max Drawdown

22.9%

ROI

11799.2%

Profit Factor

16.81

Kelly Fraction

0.343

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

082.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	10,000	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	3,608.53	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	4,943.13	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	0.2¢	1.07	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	0.2¢	447.27	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	0.1¢	10,000	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	10,000	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.2¢	1,315.44	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	4,522.13	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.3¢	1,000	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.3¢	166.84	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.3¢	1	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.3¢	100.49	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.3¢	1	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.3¢	16	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.3¢	16	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.3¢	15.03	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.3¢	540	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.3¢	7,012.04	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro82.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.52

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)74.8%

Win Consistency83.3%

Profit Factor2.14

Drawdown Resilience1.73

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.73

Weekly Sharpe est.1.32

Trading Activity1,000 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

+$2,60320d profit1d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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