0xb7a9f6...6b5976

Smart Score

Win Rate

55.3%

Total P&L

+$3.8K

Trade Count

3,760

Sharpe Ratio

2.01

Sortino Ratio

31.78

Max Drawdown

9097.2%

ROI

17.8%

Profit Factor

3.04

Kelly Fraction

0.371

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

046.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	82.0¢	2.65	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.06	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	58.0¢	6.48	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	58.0¢	5.76	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	16.5¢	5	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	82.0¢	1.81	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	1.02	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	3.6	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	1.94	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	5.55	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	43.0¢	5	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	69.1¢	0.46	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	69.6¢	1.36	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	69.5¢	17.14	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	43.0¢	28.57	Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	77.0¢	15.58	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	44.0¢	28.56	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	42.0¢	28.91	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BUY	68.0¢	17.77	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	29.0¢	0.28	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing46.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.57

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)42.5%

Win Consistency55.3%

Profit Factor1.21

Drawdown Resilience0.98

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.98

Weekly Sharpe est.0.75

Trading Activity3,760 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,9142d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue