0xb7b12e...23ef08

Smart Score

Win Rate

77.4%

Total P&L

-$29

Trade Count

622

Sharpe Ratio

-0.35

Sortino Ratio

-0.44

Max Drawdown

664.1%

ROI

-1.2%

Profit Factor

0.84

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 6?	BUY	85.0¢	1.176	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 6?	BUY	83.0¢	1.205	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 6?	BUY	90.0¢	1.111	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 6?	BUY	86.0¢	1.163	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 6?	BUY	76.0¢	1.316	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 7?	BUY	80.0¢	1.25	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 6?	BUY	89.0¢	1.124	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?	BUY	84.0¢	1.19	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 5?	BUY	77.0¢	1.299	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	67.0¢	1.493	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 5?	BUY	81.0¢	1.235	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 5?	BUY	74.0¢	1.351	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 5?	BUY	93.0¢	1.075	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 5?	BUY	66.0¢	1.515	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?	BUY	80.0¢	1.25	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 5?	BUY	64.0¢	1.563	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 6?	BUY	86.0¢	1.163	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 5?	BUY	92.0¢	1.087	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?	BUY	91.0¢	1.099	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on March 4?	BUY	89.0¢	1.124	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.53

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.7%

Win Consistency55.6%

Profit Factor0.25

Drawdown Resilience0.20

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.20

Weekly Sharpe est.0.15

Trading Activity622 trades · 48 active days

P&L Calendar

$3957d profit40d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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