0xb7c1e9...69233b

Smart Score

Win Rate

71.6%

Total P&L

-$14

Trade Count

181

Sharpe Ratio

-0.23

Sortino Ratio

-0.20

Max Drawdown

162396.6%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

7.24

Kelly Fraction

0.617

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	87.4¢	1.144	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	14.4¢	6.944	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	85.3¢	1.172	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?	BUY	99.0¢	15	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	BUY	92.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	0.9¢	143.68	Feb 25
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	0.9¢	4.46	Feb 25
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	0.9¢	601.86	Feb 25
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	0.8¢	750	Feb 23
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	63.0¢	1.587	Feb 23
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	BUY	56.0¢	1.786	Feb 23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	97.1¢	8	Feb 23
Will Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	84.0¢	1.19	Feb 23
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	BUY	98.2¢	10	Feb 23
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	1.4¢	210	Jan 27
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	2.3¢	0.97	Jan 27
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	2.3¢	3.04	Jan 27
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	2.3¢	58.78	Jan 27
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	2.3¢	1.72	Jan 27
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	1.3¢	210	Jan 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.67

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.7%

Win Consistency49.5%

Profit Factor0.79

Drawdown Resilience0.64

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.64

Weekly Sharpe est.0.49

Trading Activity181 trades · 26 active days

P&L Calendar

$2098d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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