0xb7caac...3cb6db

Smart Score

Win Rate

71.8%

Total P&L

+$238

Trade Count

107

Sharpe Ratio

-0.54

Sortino Ratio

-0.46

Max Drawdown

828.0%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

2.56

Kelly Fraction

0.437

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	1,362	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	BUY	99.5¢	84.111	Mar 4
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	99.6¢	1,088.65	Mar 4
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	99.7¢	1,088.65	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	SELL	99.8¢	38.99	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	SELL	99.8¢	77.346	Mar 4
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	99.6¢	1,331.65	Mar 4
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	99.7¢	1,331.65	Mar 4
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.2¢	1,027.95	Mar 3
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.3¢	1,027.95	Mar 3
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	1,162.04	Mar 3
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	1,162.04	Mar 3
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.6¢	1,351.26	Mar 2
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.7¢	1,351.26	Mar 2
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.7¢	980.48	Mar 2
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.8¢	980.48	Mar 2
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	99.7¢	1,275.98	Mar 2
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	99.8¢	1,275.98	Mar 1
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	BUY	99.6¢	116.345	Mar 1
Flyers vs. Maple Leafs	BUY	55.0¢	165.38	Mar 1

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.5%

Win Consistency32.8%

Profit Factor0.47

Drawdown Resilience0.38

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38

Weekly Sharpe est.0.29

Trading Activity107 trades · 30 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,3143d profit27d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue