0xb7de57...30b802

Smart Score

Win Rate

64.2%

Total P&L

+$42.1K

Trade Count

989

Sharpe Ratio

-0.13

Sortino Ratio

-0.19

Max Drawdown

6358.9%

ROI

58.9%

Profit Factor

3.75

Kelly Fraction

0.471

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	67.692	Mar 4
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	10.078	Mar 4
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	40.3	Mar 4
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	62.46	Mar 3
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	98.5¢	192.34	Mar 3
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	SELL	8.2¢	7.75	Feb 28
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	SELL	8.2¢	27.05	Feb 28
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	SELL	8.2¢	12.96	Feb 28
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	SELL	8.2¢	12.195	Feb 28
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	SELL	8.2¢	118.634	Feb 28
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	SELL	8.2¢	21.4	Feb 28
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	50.6	Feb 24
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	76.54	Feb 23
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	112.58	Feb 22
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	56.151	Feb 19
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	BUY	95.5¢	54.59	Feb 15
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?	BUY	97.7¢	161	Feb 14
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	BUY	95.5¢	22.5	Feb 14
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	85.71	Feb 13
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	70.82	Feb 13

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.65

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.3%

Win Consistency67.7%

Profit Factor0.78

Drawdown Resilience0.63

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63

Weekly Sharpe est.0.48

Trading Activity989 trades · 41 active days

P&L Calendar

$62,4354d profit37d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue