0xb7f59e...f4234a

Smart Score

Win Rate

40.0%

Total P&L

+$38

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-2.67

Sortino Ratio

-2.50

Max Drawdown

374.6%

ROI

2.4%

Profit Factor

2.06

Kelly Fraction

0.206

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

03/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	BUY	52.0¢	93.462	Mar 5
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	SELL	25.0¢	194.62	Mar 5
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	BUY	62.2¢	194.626	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	BUY	64.0¢	156.25	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	83.0¢	266.26	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	75.0¢	266.267	Mar 4
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	SELL	67.0¢	130.58	Mar 4
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?	SELL	70.0¢	160.31	Mar 4
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	BUY	66.4¢	130.582	Mar 3
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?	BUY	62.4¢	160.319	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	37.0¢	125.16	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	78.2¢	179.56	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	42.0¢	125.167	Mar 2
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	55.7¢	179.564	Mar 2
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	BUY	0.9¢	111.111	Jan 15
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	SELL	55.0¢	153.84	Jan 14
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	BUY	26.0¢	153.846	Jan 14

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.16

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.7%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor0.08

Drawdown Resilience0.06

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.06

Weekly Sharpe est.0.05

Trading Activity17 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$1092d profit2d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue