0xb7f784...c386f9

Smart Score

Win Rate

28.2%

Total P&L

-$984

Trade Count

319

Sharpe Ratio

0.63

Sortino Ratio

94.26

Max Drawdown

194.6%

ROI

-13.5%

Profit Factor

0.71

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	99.8¢	43.47	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	11.1¢	333.96	Feb 28
Will the US strike Somalia next?	BUY	1.7¢	118.235	Feb 18
Will the US strike Iran next?	BUY	1.1¢	454.545	Feb 18
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	23.0¢	43.478	Feb 18
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?	BUY	33.3¢	30.027	Feb 18
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	BUY	19.0¢	52.632	Feb 18
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	31.0¢	32.258	Feb 18
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?	BUY	6.1¢	81.967	Feb 18
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?	BUY	2.6¢	76.923	Feb 18
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	7.5¢	333.969	Feb 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	BUY	34.0¢	14.722	Feb 12
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Missouri Tigers	BUY	68.0¢	29.412	Jan 24
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5	BUY	42.0¢	11.905	Jan 24
Knicks vs. 76ers	BUY	59.0¢	16.949	Jan 24
Rider Broncs vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers	BUY	22.0¢	22.727	Jan 24
Rider Broncs vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 137.5	BUY	56.0¢	35.714	Jan 24
Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 135.5	BUY	52.0¢	38.462	Jan 24
Houston Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders	BUY	47.0¢	42.553	Jan 24
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-24?	SELL	99.9¢	26.31	Jan 24

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.21

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.0%

Win Consistency45.5%

Profit Factor0.57

Drawdown Resilience0.46

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46

Weekly Sharpe est.0.35

Trading Activity319 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,6985d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue