0xb7fa3f...b257db

Smart Score

Win Rate

31.0%

Total P&L

+$16

Trade Count

173

Sharpe Ratio

0.36

Sortino Ratio

3.25

Max Drawdown

173.2%

ROI

5.7%

Profit Factor

1.45

Kelly Fraction

0.096

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	53.0¢	1.61	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	80.0¢	1.23	Mar 5
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	86.0¢	1.163	Feb 27
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of February 2026?	BUY	76.0¢	2.632	Feb 27
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	SELL	99.3¢	2.78	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 26?	BUY	47.0¢	2.128	Feb 26
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?	SELL	77.0¢	1.88	Feb 26
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?	BUY	53.0¢	1.887	Feb 24
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?	SELL	98.4¢	1.12	Feb 24
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?	BUY	45.8¢	2.183	Feb 7
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	BUY	71.7¢	2.789	Feb 7
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?	BUY	89.0¢	1.124	Feb 7
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	81.0¢	1.235	Feb 7
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	62.0¢	1.613	Feb 7
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of January 2026?	BUY	73.9¢	1.353	Jan 25
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of January 2026?	BUY	33.0¢	3.03	Jan 25
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?	BUY	19.3¢	5.181	Jan 25
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?	BUY	3.7¢	54.054	Jan 25
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	18.0¢	3.33	Jan 25
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	60.0¢	7.37	Jan 25

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.22

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.1%

Win Consistency41.2%

Profit Factor0.57

Drawdown Resilience0.46

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46

Weekly Sharpe est.0.35

Trading Activity173 trades · 34 active days

P&L Calendar

$5414d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue