0xb86817...c55e23

Smart Score

Win Rate

56.5%

Total P&L

-$24

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.12

Sortino Ratio

-0.18

Max Drawdown

200.3%

ROI

-11.3%

Profit Factor

0.28

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	94.8¢	1.17	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?	BUY	13.6¢	7.336	Mar 5
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	BUY	87.0¢	2.299	Mar 5
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	SELL	52.6¢	1.64	Mar 5
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	SELL	29.0¢	2.63	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	84.9¢	1.178	Mar 5
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	82.0¢	2.439	Mar 4
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	87.0¢	1.149	Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	BUY	79.0¢	5.063	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?	SELL	90.1¢	2.2	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	SELL	78.0¢	9.31	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?	BUY	70.0¢	2.857	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31?	BUY	67.0¢	2.985	Mar 4
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	BUY	38.0¢	2.632	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	SELL	1.0¢	2.7	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Ripped" or "Ripping" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	BUY	98.0¢	1.02	Mar 3
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	BUY	60.7¢	1.647	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	BUY	37.0¢	2.703	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	BUY	87.0¢	1.149	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Iran" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	BUY	85.0¢	2.353	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency46.7%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity97 trades · 17 active days

P&L Calendar

$575d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue