0xb86ec6...4a8cfd

Smart Score

Win Rate

68.2%

Total P&L

+$4.3K

Trade Count

797

Sharpe Ratio

-0.06

Sortino Ratio

-0.07

Max Drawdown

55.4%

ROI

2.9%

Profit Factor

1.27

Kelly Fraction

0.146

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

038/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	26.316	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	2.632	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	2.384	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	20	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	5.17	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	11.842	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	500	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	63.0¢	1,000	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	7.27	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	1,152.21	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	39.0¢	2,005.07	Mar 4
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?	BUY	5.7¢	1.42	Feb 21
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?	BUY	5.7¢	5	Feb 21
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?	BUY	5.7¢	5	Feb 21
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?	BUY	5.7¢	5	Feb 21
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?	BUY	5.7¢	5	Feb 21
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?	BUY	5.7¢	5	Feb 21
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?	BUY	5.7¢	5	Feb 21
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?	BUY	5.7¢	5	Feb 21
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?	BUY	5.7¢	5	Feb 21

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing38

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.09

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.6%

Win Consistency62.9%

Profit Factor0.99

Drawdown Resilience0.80

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.80

Weekly Sharpe est.0.61

Trading Activity754 trades · 79 active days

P&L Calendar

$89,12920d profit59d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue