0xb8f6a9...ad6e65

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.1%

Total P&L

-$8.2K

Trade Count

997

Sharpe Ratio

0.23

Sortino Ratio

4.05

Max Drawdown

41.0%

ROI

-3.0%

Profit Factor

0.86

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

049.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	BUY	3.4¢	15,014.129	Jun 1
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?	SELL	51.0¢	1,000	Jun 1
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	BUY	82.7¢	23,039.558	Jun 1
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?	BUY	97.6¢	16,149.7	May 30
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?	BUY	98.0¢	2,907.83	May 30
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?	BUY	48.0¢	1,000	May 30
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1300 on Apr 18?	BUY	0.9¢	17.29	Apr 16
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1300 on Apr 18?	BUY	0.9¢	52	Apr 16
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1300 on Apr 18?	BUY	0.9¢	98.85	Apr 16
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1300 on Apr 18?	BUY	0.9¢	20	Apr 16
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1300 on Apr 18?	BUY	0.9¢	3.966	Apr 16
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1300 on Apr 18?	BUY	0.9¢	30.999	Apr 16
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1300 on Apr 18?	BUY	0.9¢	37.477	Apr 16
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1300 on Apr 18?	BUY	0.9¢	7.255	Apr 16
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1300 and $1400 on Apr 18?	BUY	2.5¢	4.77	Apr 16
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1300 and $1400 on Apr 18?	BUY	2.5¢	710	Apr 16
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1300 and $1400 on Apr 18?	BUY	2.5¢	25.641	Apr 16
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1300 and $1400 on Apr 18?	BUY	2.5¢	15	Apr 16
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1300 and $1400 on Apr 18?	BUY	2.5¢	15	Apr 16
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1300 on Apr 18?	BUY	0.9¢	15	Apr 16

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing49.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.72

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.1%

Win Consistency60.3%

Profit Factor1.29

Drawdown Resilience1.04

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.04

Weekly Sharpe est.0.79

Trading Activity117 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$31,0282d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue