0xb8fbd6...813d55

Smart Score

Win Rate

16.7%

Total P&L

-$80

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.87

Sortino Ratio

-1.74

Max Drawdown

52.9%

ROI

-1.6%

Profit Factor

0.92

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	12.1¢	287.777	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	5.7¢	612.49	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	12.7¢	753.365	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	10.9¢	128.131	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	1.0¢	1,395.53	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	8.3¢	1,395.536	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	17.5¢	612.497	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	1,075.49	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	9.3¢	1,075.484	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	77.1¢	1,175.43	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	67.2¢	267.188	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	28.2¢	636.71	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	54.4¢	636.711	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	44.0¢	103.591	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	2.0¢	2,251.39	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	7.7¢	555.584	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	34.0¢	176.653	Mar 2
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	SELL	17.7¢	213.74	Mar 2
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in March?	SELL	38.4¢	168.87	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	6.9¢	1,695.815	Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.14

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.9%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.54

Drawdown Resilience0.44

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.44

Weekly Sharpe est.0.33

Trading Activity52 trades · 17 active days

P&L Calendar

$6014d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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