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0xb928f9...16fa64

0xb928f9...16fa64
Smart Score
19
Win Rate
55.5%
Total P&L
+$6.6K
Trade Count
922
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Sortino Ratio
0.72
Max Drawdown
417.7%
ROI
25.6%
Profit Factor
2.05
Kelly Fraction
0.284
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
019.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US forces enter Iran by March 7?SELL4.5¢200Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY11.9¢200Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?SELL12.0¢100Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY25.1¢100Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL15.5¢200Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY15.7¢196.29Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY15.7¢3.71Mar 5
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?SELL13.0¢299.98Mar 3
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY18.0¢96.34Mar 3
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY18.0¢3.659Mar 3
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY19.0¢51.96Mar 3
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY19.0¢17.16Mar 3
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY19.0¢30.864Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?SELL3.4¢99.98Mar 3
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?SELL8.0¢200Mar 3
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY9.0¢200Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?BUY3.2¢97.92Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?BUY3.2¢1.033Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?BUY3.2¢1.033Mar 3
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?SELL26.0¢50Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%24%< 10%10–20%6%20–30%6%30–50%23%50–70%12%70–80%12%80–90%15%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing19.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.07
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.6%
Win Consistency37.9%
Profit Factor0.50
Drawdown Resilience0.41
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41
Weekly Sharpe est.0.31
Trading Activity922 trades · 99 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$22,7013d profit96d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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